Many blackjack books roughly assume that the basic loss rate is 0.5%. When it is true 1, the card counter is tied with the casino, and when it is true 2, it starts to jump bets. In fact, blackjack counters already make 0.25% in many casinos when it's 1!

 

Many blackjack books roughly assume that the basic loss rate is 0.5%. When 1 is true, the card counter is tied with the casino, and when 2 is true, the bet starts to jump. In fact, when 1 is true in many casinos, the card counter already has a 0.25% rate of return. When the penetration rate is 75% (6 decks and 4 and a half decks), 15% of the cards are around true 1. If the card counter does not jump bets on true 1, true 2 bets at +0.5% instead of 0.75%. Must earn a lot less.

 

A card counter with a $10,000 bet on a $10 gaming table should only bet $10 if Kelly bets halfway when 1 is true, and should bet 0.75% if 2 is true, and should bet 28.5 yuan. %) 19 yuan, the long-term profit will be reduced by 1/3! If you gamble $500,000 and play a $100 game table, you can bet 475 yuan for a real 1. If you don’t skip the bet, you will earn 10 dollars less for an hour...

 

$18,000 less a year. Dripping water wears away rocks, and the value of 0.25% can be careless and lost. What should I do if I lose $70,000 in 3 hours?

 

The turnover is 8,000 US dollars under 21, and the big names swarm out. The dealer puts 20 points, the turnover is reset to zero, the lot is empty, and the loss is 30,000 US dollars. How to do?

 

If you play long enough and old enough, you're bound to encounter the above scenarios...and more than once.

 

How can you lose a lot of money when you obviously count a good card and make a big bet?

 

Losing big money is when you bet big, that is, when you have a good card!

 

Take a look at the winning and losing records below. I won nearly 50,000 US dollars in 3 days.

 

What to do when summing up?

 

endure.

 

50,000 US dollars is 10% of the 500,000 bets. If you bet 8,000 US dollars in one bet, 50,000 US dollars is only equal to 6 bets.

 

Faced with a real 8 card (the basic loss rate is 0.25%, and the real 8’s rate of return is about 3.75%), bet 100 hands of 8,000 US dollars, a total of 800,000 US dollars, the expected profit is 30,000, and there is a 17% chance of losing 58,000 US dollars above (with a standard deviation of about 11%, or $88,000).